
Resolved No on 7 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 0.7% on 5 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 5 Mar 2026 to 7 Mar 2026, the highest close was 0.8% on 6 Mar 2026 and the lowest 0.2% on 7 Mar 2026.
25 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 8, 6:47 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 5 Mar 2026 – 7 Mar 2026, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 5 Mar 2026 | 0.7% |
| 7 Mar 2026 | 0.2% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
On March 4, the US Senate is expected to vote on S.J.Res.104 - A joint resolution to direct the removal of United States Armed Forces from hostilities within or against the Islamic Republic of Iran that have not been authorized by Congress. You can read more about that here: https://www.axios.com/2026/03/04/iran-senate-democrats-aumf-vote This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified legislation passes the Senate by March 6, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no vote takes place by March 6, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the results of the initial roll call vote for the passage of the specified legislation. Any subsequent votes will not be considered. Senators without a formal party affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican Parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party that they caucus with. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the US government (e.g., https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/senate-joint-resolution/104), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/war-powers-resolution-passes-the-senate
| 0xRocket666 | Yes | 200 |
| bjprolo | Yes | 120 |
| Securixy.co | Yes | 111.11 |
| shanzhishu | Yes | 110 |
| Quiet Atlas 45C8 | Yes | 70.61 |
| chijianhui | Yes | 70 |
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