Analytics
Allow Google Analytics cookies to measure visits, navigation, completed signups and checkout starts on our website and app? Analytics identifiers last up to 180 days. Account details, searches, wallet addresses and payment details are excluded. Your choice is optional and you can change it anytime.
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will there be 5 or more confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026? | Yes | 255.29 | $0.012 | $1.91 | -$1.09 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | buy | 11.15 | $0.130 | $1.45 | Jul 11, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 250 |
| $0.020 |
| $0.38 |
| -$4.63 |
| sell |
| 125 |
| $0.012 |
| $1.5 |
| Jun 19, 2026 |
 Will "Mortal Kombat II" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 20m?No | buy | 98.26 | $0.023 | $2.26 | May 15, 2026 |
| Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 125 | $0.020 | $2.5 | May 15, 2026 |
 Will Germany strike Iran by April 30?Yes | buy | 109.81 | $0.027 | $2.93 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Will Germany strike Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 968.65 | $0.003 | $2.93 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Will Germany strike Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 128.75 | $0.008 | $1.03 | Mar 25, 2026 |
| Will there be between 20 and 30 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on March 31?Yes | sell | 36.05 | $0.029 | $1.03 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 12°C on March 19?No | buy | 27.07 | $0.369 | $9.99 | Mar 19, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 14°C or higher on March 19?Yes | buy | 130.36 | $0.051 | $6.66 | Mar 19, 2026 |
 Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?Yes | sell | 24.67 | $0.675 | $16.65 | Mar 19, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 14°C or higher on March 19?Yes | buy | 26 | $0.038 | $1 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 Will Iran take military action against a Gulf State on March 18, 2026?No | buy | 40.41 | $0.049 | $1.98 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will there be between 20 and 30 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on March 31?Yes | buy | 90.13 | $0.030 | $2.71 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 Will Powell say "Dollar" 2+ times during March press conference?Yes | sell | 5.74 | $0.990 | $5.68 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?Yes | buy | 1.05K | $0.001 | $1.05 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?Yes | sell | 1.85 | $0.442 | $0.82 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will Powell say "Dollar" 2+ times during March press conference?Yes | buy | 5.74 | $0.390 | $2.24 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 Will the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after March 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 109.19 | $0.007 | $0.76 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after March 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 225.67 | $0.008 | $1.72 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 75.31 | $0.016 | $1.17 | Mar 17, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SX?Yes | sell | 11.11 | $0.105 | $1.17 | Mar 16, 2026 |
 Will "Frankenstein" win 6 or more awards at the Oscars?Yes | buy | 177.88 | $0.006 | $1 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?Yes | sell | 1.39 | $0.725 | $1.01 | Mar 16, 2026 |
 Will Jessie Buckley win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?No | buy | 250 | $0.020 | $5 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will "Frankenstein" win exactly 5 awards at the Oscars?Yes | buy | 110.2 | $0.010 | $1.06 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will Ethan Hawke win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.009 | $1 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?Yes | sell | 9.3 | $0.758 | $7.05 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?Yes | buy | 12.92 | $0.788 | $10.18 | Mar 15, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 7:30PM-7:35PM ETUp | buy | 9.79 | $0.397 | $3.89 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Will "Frankenstein" win exactly 4 awards at the Oscars?Yes | buy | 39.93 | $0.069 | $2.74 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?Yes | sell | 8.98 | $0.778 | $6.98 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Will Emma Stone win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 747.8 | $0.004 | $3.27 | Mar 15, 2026 |
 Will Jensen Huang say "Agent" or "Agentic" at the NVIDIA GTC keynote?No | buy | 41.9 | $0.048 | $2 | Mar 15, 2026 |
 Will Train Dreams win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Will Frankenstein win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?Yes | sell | 8.27 | $0.879 | $7.27 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?Yes | buy | 33.27 | $0.812 | $27.03 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?Yes | sell | 39.69 | $0.681 | $27.03 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?Yes | buy | 8.28 | $0.836 | $6.92 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?Yes | sell | 13.58 | $0.510 | $6.93 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?Yes | buy | 13.59 | $0.510 | $6.93 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?Yes | sell | 31.5 | $0.220 | $6.93 | Mar 14, 2026 |
 Ethereum Up or Down - March 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ETUp | buy | 4.88 | $0.349 | $1.7 | Mar 12, 2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - March 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ETDown | buy | 10.02 | $0.099 | $1 | Mar 12, 2026 |
 Will Nguyễn Duy Ngọc be the next President of Vietnam?Yes | sell | 250 | $0.006 | $1.5 | Mar 12, 2026 |
| Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 250 | $0.002 | $0.5 | Mar 12, 2026 |
 Will Phạm Minh Chính be the next President of Vietnam?Yes | sell | 250 | $0.001 | $0.25 | Mar 12, 2026 |
 Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by March 31?Yes | sell | 56.21 | $0.009 | $0.51 | Mar 12, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?Yes | buy | 31.5 | $0.200 | $6.3 | Mar 12, 2026 |