Resolved U 4.5 on 19 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had U 4.5 at 75%. The O 4.5 side opened at 74.5% on 11 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 9 daily closes on record from 11 Jul 2026 to 19 Jul 2026, the highest close was 74.5% on 11 Jul 2026 and the lowest 8.5% on 13 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 54 points down, to 20.5% on 12 Jul 2026. $2.61K traded over the market's life.
4 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 20, 6:05 AM UTC
Daily closes of the O 4.5 price, Polymarket CLOB, 9 points, 11 Jul 2026 – 19 Jul 2026
| Observed | O 4.5 price |
|---|---|
| 11 Jul 2026 | 74.5% |
| 19 Jul 2026 | 25.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| AMAM13 | O 4.5 | 107 |
| vigneshwar | O 4.5 | 60.94 |
| .Menthe | O 4.5 | 50 |
| hhugtt | O 4.5 | 20 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the final group stage record of the listed team during VCT CN 2026 Stage 2. If the listed team records more than the listed number of wins, the corresponding market will resolve to its corresponding "Over". Otherwise, it will resolve to its corresponding "Under". If at any point it becomes statistically impossible for the listed team to record more than the listed number of wins per the rules of VCT CN 2026 Stage 2, the corresponding market will resolve to its corresponding "Under". If VCT CN 2026 Stage 2 is cancelled, partially completed, or postponed after August 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, these markets will resolve to "50-50". The resolution source will be official information from VLR.gg (https://www.vlr.gg); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/vct-2026-china-stage-2-win-totals-20260710200543199
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