Analytics
Yes is at 35%, down 35 points from 70% when the market opened on 22 Apr 2026.
Across the 185 daily closes on record from 22 Apr 2026 to 27 Oct 2026 (4 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 70.5% on 23 May 2026 and the lowest 27% on 18 Aug 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 35.5%; a month before, 30.5%. Its largest one-day move was 31 points up, to 70.5% on 23 May 2026.
It is one of 8 markets under “Valantis FDV above ___ one day after launch?”.
$40 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $2.85K since listing. The order book holds $244.79, with a 6.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 95 trades, $569.58 bought Yes and $345.73 bought No.
The largest Yes position is Tenebrus7 with 280 shares; the largest No position is xtxpleasecallme with 76. Ten wallets hold 90.5% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2028.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 27, 7:10 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 185 points, 22 Apr 2026 – 27 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 22 Apr 2026 | 70.0% |
| 27 Oct 2026 | 35.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Tenebrus7 | Yes | 280.17 |
| xtxpleasecallme | No | 75.92 |
| Quiet Beacon 7EAB | No | 61.98 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Valantis token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." Only an official token launched by Valantis will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Valantis (https://x.com/ValantisLabs) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/valantis-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch
| benguezmen |
| No |
| 51.48 |
| pootytherewardfarmer | No | 46 |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD. | Yes | 32.11 |
| LJRAlonso | No | 31.61 |
| Odd-Relish | No | 31 |
| pravoye-yaitso | No | 23.82 |
| GuyFromTinder | Yes | 20.01 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
