
Resolved Yes on 21 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 41.5%. Yes opened at 28% on 16 May 2026. Before it settled, across the 6 daily closes on record from 16 May 2026 to 21 May 2026, the highest close was 41.5% on 21 May 2026 and the lowest 9.2% on 20 May 2026. Its largest one-day move was 32 points up, to 41.5% on 21 May 2026. $176.4K traded over the market's life.
100 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 22, 3:48 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 6 points, 16 May 2026 – 21 May 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 16 May 2026 | 28.0% |
| 21 May 2026 | 41.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| hasakiiiiii | No | 15K |
| gopay | No | 3K |
| Extra-Small-Weapon | No | 2.58K |
| Silky-Present | No | 1.59K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Cuba by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Cuba relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify. Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count. The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Cuba, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/us-x-cuba-diplomatic-meeting-by-838
| Golden Beacon 67A6 | No | 1.07K |
| Cobra. | No | 1K |
| C0nflict | No | 1K |
| Tinted-Nephew | No | 1K |
| readyplayer6 | No | 1K |
| niglette | No | 928.62 |
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