Analytics
Resolved No on 26 Dec 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 89.3%. Yes opened at 12.5% on 23 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 4 daily closes on record from 23 Dec 2025 to 26 Dec 2025, the highest close was 12.5% on 23 Dec 2025 and the lowest 3.4% on 24 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 9.1 points down, to 3.4% on 24 Dec 2025. $52.14K traded over the market's life.
27 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 27, 8:34 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 23 Dec 2025 – 26 Dec 2025, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 23 Dec 2025 | 12.5% |
| 26 Dec 2025 | 10.8% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| MagicEightBall | Yes | 16.55K |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 699 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 395 |
| TESTENAOMEXA | Yes | 342.93 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if U.S. government forces seize a ship that is transporting, or is intended to transport, oil to or from Venezuela on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Ship seizures that are carried out over multiple days will only qualify for the date that US forces first seize the ship. U.S. government forces refer to any active U.S. military (including U.S. Coast Guard), law enforcement, or intelligence personnel or contractors. Seizes refers to U.S. forces taking custody of or asserting operational control of the vessel, including boarding and taking control of the vessel, detaining the vessel indefinitely, or forcefully rerouting the vessel to a U.S.-controlled port. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/us-forces-seize-venezuela-linked-oil-ship-on
| csgb | Yes | 329.86 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | Yes | 249 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | Yes | 183 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 173 |
| Violet Vector B233 | Yes | 158.58 |
| 0xRocket666 | Yes | 150 |
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