Analytics
Resolved Yes on 15 Jan 2026.
$116.38K traded over the market's life.
43 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 17, 12:23 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 1 point, 15 Jan 2026, chart shows 24%–36%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 15 Jan 2026 | 30.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Solar Signal 41C4 | No | 13.85K |
| K25999 | No | 3K |
| Stark-Contributor | No | 1K |
| TheKing011 | No | 1K |
| Inferior-Index | No | 710 |
| S888 | No | 519.99 |
| Malenkiykristi | No | 337.56 |
| Silver Harbor F48F | No | 333.33 |
| kamarat | No | 300 |
| efen260 | No | 293.61 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if U.S. government forces seize an oil tanker, or any other ship that is actively transporting oil, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. U.S. government forces refer to any active U.S. military (including U.S. Coast Guard), law enforcement, or intelligence personnel or contractors. Seizes refers to U.S. forces taking custody of or asserting operational control of the vessel, including boarding and taking control of the vessel, detaining the vessel indefinitely, or forcefully rerouting the vessel to a U.S.-controlled port. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/us-forces-seize-another-oil-ship-by
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