Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Apr 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 7.5% on 6 Feb 2025. Before it settled, across the 55 daily closes on record from 6 Feb 2025 to 1 Apr 2025, the highest close was 7.5% on 6 Feb 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 31 Mar 2025. $273.51K traded over the market's life.
27 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 5, 8:29 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 55 points, 6 Feb 2025 – 1 Apr 2025, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Feb 2025 | 7.5% |
| 1 Apr 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| joetarded | Yes | 4.55K |
| Xoivs | Yes | 1.15K |
| BabyYoda12 | Yes | 840.18 |
| maxheid | Yes | 324.53 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active regular US military personnel physically enter Gaza at any point between February 4, 2025, and March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip to qualify. Entering the maritime territory as occurred during the US’s attempt to construct a floating pier in 2024, or entering the airspace will not qualify. US military personnel entering buffer zones under control of Israel will not qualify. High ranking U.S. service members entering Gaza for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage), military contractors, military advisors, and special operation forces will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/us-forces-in-gaza-before-april
| Matt282 | Yes | 227.27 |
| yarchuk | Yes | 212.5 |
| wuzzel12 | Yes | 142.86 |
| spreadneedle | Yes | 125.43 |
| heavydirtysoul | Yes | 120 |
| JK1062 | Yes | 20 |
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