Analytics
Resolved No on 1 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 16% on 21 Nov 2025. Before it settled, across the 142 daily closes on record from 21 Nov 2025 to 1 May 2026 (20 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 36.5% on 20 Dec 2025 and the lowest 0.2% on 1 May 2026. Its largest one-day move was 21 points down, to 16% on 21 Dec 2025. $10.38K traded over the market's life.
59 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 1, 6:57 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 142 points, 21 Nov 2025 – 1 May 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 21 Nov 2025 | 16.0% |
| 1 May 2026 | 0.2% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Responsible-Density | Yes | 234.11 |
| Harmless-Fax | Yes | 125 |
| yaboyy | Yes | 100 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, any sitting member of the United States Congress resigns or is removed from their congressional seat and the cause of their departure is attributed to information contained in files related to Jeffrey Epstein released by the federal government during this market’s timeframe. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” A qualifying resignation or removal must be caused by information included in newly released Epstein-related files. The cause of resignation or removal may be established through official statements from the departing Member of Congress or through a clear consensus of credible reporting. Resignations or removals driven by information already public before November 18, 2025, or by reasons unrelated to the content of the released Epstein-related files, will not qualify. An announcement of resignation or removal made before April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET will qualify, even if the departure becomes effective afterward. Only the resignation of a U.S. representative or Senator will count. The resignation or removal of a delegate to congress who does not hold full voting powers, e.g. Stacey Plaskett, will not count. The resolution sources for this market will be official statements from the departing Member of Congress and a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/us-congress-member-out-over-epstein-files-before-april-30
| Doting-Email | Yes | 99.99 |
| GambleNatto | Yes | 79.89 |
| ConeDesk | Yes | 65.41 |
| trotzstirn | Yes | 63 |
| brrbrrpatapim67 | Yes | 50 |
| mshcpx | Yes | 37.71 |
| Misty Summit 3196 | Yes | 35.32 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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