Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 5.5% on 26 Nov 2024. Before it settled, across the 37 daily closes on record from 26 Nov 2024 to 1 Jan 2025, the highest close was 5.5% on 26 Nov 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 1 Jan 2025. $78.3K traded over the market's life.
16 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 14, 3:17 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 37 points, 26 Nov 2024 – 1 Jan 2025, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 26 Nov 2024 | 5.5% |
| 1 Jan 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| H2g38K12 | Yes | 72.86 |
| TheFoodieRudz | Yes | 66.67 |
| xyxz | Yes | 58.82 |
| Nonvalid | Yes | 22.27 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared before December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2023 an election is scheduled for March 23, 2025, this market will resolve to "Yes"). The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/uk-election-called-before-2025
New to prediction markets?
| hhhgftyi8 | Yes | 14.29 |
| lister-644 | No | 1.17 |
| yxvxtshs | No | 0.04 |
| sihowes | No | 0.04 |
| Mica1 | No | 0.03 |
| BeN | No | 0.02 |
