Analytics
Resolved Yes on 19 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 50.5%. Yes opened at 50% on 6 Aug 2026. Before it settled, across the 14 daily closes on record from 6 Aug 2026 to 19 Aug 2026, the highest close was 51% on 17 Aug 2026 and the lowest 50% on 6 Aug 2026. $111.72 traded over the market's life.
3 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 20, 1:00 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 14 points, 6 Aug 2026 – 19 Aug 2026, chart shows 45%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Aug 2026 | 50.0% |
| 19 Aug 2026 | 50.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| bZk0Uo | No | 87.2 |
| locatedMMM | No | 10 |
| triklozoid | No | 5 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Trent Miller and Douglas Rodrigues at Dana White's Contender Series: Season 10, Week 2, scheduled for August 18, 2026, ends by submission, including tapout, verbal submission, or technical submission (referee stoppage due to a submission hold). Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 1, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-tre9-drodri-2026-08-18
New to prediction markets?
