What do the Yes and No prices mean?

At the last observation Yes traded at 100.0¢ and No at 0.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 100.0% for Yes and 0.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.

How did this market resolve?

It resolved Steven Asplund on 9 Aug 2026. Trading has stopped; the record of prices, holders and trades stays on this page.

How does this market resolve?

This market will resolve to "Steven Asplund" if Steven Asplund is officially declared the winner of the fight against Guilherme Pat at UFC Fight Night: Gamrot vs Salkilld, scheduled for August 8, 2026. It will resolve to "Guilherme Pat" if Guilherme Pat is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond August 22, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?

Volume is the dollar value of shares traded in a period, liquidity is the dollar value resting in the order book ready to be traded against, and open interest is the value of all shares currently held. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.

Who still holds shares in this market?

136 public wallets still held shares when Vultax last looked. Winners usually redeem their shares after settlement, so the remaining holders are mostly on the losing side.

Where does this data come from and how fresh is it?

Prices, the order book, holders and the trade tape come from Polymarket's public order book and data API. Vultax records each observation with its own timestamp (market facts last updated Aug 10, 12:17 AM UTC) and shows a value as unavailable rather than as zero when a source has not answered.

Can I trade this market on Vultax?

No. Vultax is a research and paper-trading terminal; it does not execute orders. The trade controls open the official market on Polymarket (https://polymarket.com/event/ufc-ste36-gui2-2026-08-08) or the Vultax predictions monitor, where you can track the market and paper trade it.

Resolved Steven Asplund: UFC Fight Night: Steven Asplund vs.…

Market referenceufc-ste36-gui2-2026-08-08Updated Aug 10, 2026 UTC

Resolved

Steven Asplund · settled Aug 9, 2026 UTC

Guilherme Pat

100.0%

Steven Asplund

0.0%

Final Guilherme Pat 100¢Final Steven Asplund 0¢

Lifetime volume

$705.5K

Resolved

Steven Asplund

Settled

Aug 9, 2026 UTC

Source Evidence

Evidence coverage

Items

Fetched

Latest

6h ago

Public Polymarket market/event context is available; Vultax source-pack coverage is tracked separately.

Depth

Observed

Aug 10, 2026 UTC

This closed market has no live orderbook depth; the public close quote is shown for context.

Trading stateMarket usability at the displayed observation.

Market state

Resolved

Order book

Captured book available

Final outcome

Steven Asplund

The resolved venue state is treated as proof of resolution; holder and trade rows are settlement context.

Holder depthCapped public top-holder sample.

Rows loaded

136

Wallets

136

Top 10 share

70%

Yes / No shares

31.24 / 58.02K

Rows reflect the positive holders returned for this market, not venue-wide open interest.

Recent tapeLatest public market trades.

Trades loaded

500

Wallets

181

Loaded notional

Remaining positions after settlementWinners redeemed their shares, so these rows lean to the losing side. Not live orderbook depth or current OI.

Trader	Outcome	Shares	Avg entry	Cost basis	Last trade
monkeymashingkeyboard	Guilherme Pat	9.45K	28.0%	$9.45K
gfafasgs	Guilherme Pat	6.34K	34.4%

UFC Fight Night: Steven Asplund vs. Guilherme Pat (Heavyweight, Main Card)

Questions

Questions about this market

What is the “UFC Fight Night: Steven Asplund vs. Guilherme Pat (Heavyweight, Main Card)” market asking?: It asks whether the following will happen: UFC Fight Night: Steven Asplund vs. Guilherme Pat (Heavyweight, Main Card) Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.
What do the Yes and No prices mean?: At the last observation Yes traded at 100.0¢ and No at 0.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 100.0% for Yes and 0.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.
How did this market resolve?: It resolved Steven Asplund on 9 Aug 2026. Trading has stopped; the record of prices, holders and trades stays on this page.
How does this market resolve?: This market will resolve to "Steven Asplund" if Steven Asplund is officially declared the winner of the fight against Guilherme Pat at UFC Fight Night: Gamrot vs Salkilld, scheduled for August 8, 2026. It will resolve to "Guilherme Pat" if Guilherme Pat is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond August 22, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?: Volume is the dollar value of shares traded in a period, liquidity is the dollar value resting in the order book ready to be traded against, and open interest is the value of all shares currently held. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.

Analytics

Trader

Outcome

Avg entry

Cost basis

Last trade

monkeymashingkeyboard

Guilherme Pat

9.45K

28.0%

$9.45K

gfafasgs

Guilherme Pat

6.34K

34.4%

Trader	Current holding value
MooreOlivera	$10.96
WhiteAaronq	$10.28
AlvarezGerald	$10
monkeymashingkeyboard	$0
gfafasgs	$0
djtj67	$0
Striped-Refuse	$0
Solar Ledger A27A	$0
DLplmk	$0
randypunt	$0
neagara	$0
jole24	$0