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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
New pandemic in 2026? | No | 500 | $0.898 | $472.5 | +$23.5 |
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on September 9?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.410 | $41 | 22h ago |
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| No |
| 300 |
| $0.831 |
| $280.95 |
| +$31.55 |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 18? | Yes | 400 | $0.490 | $274 | +$78 |
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | No | 300 | $0.810 | $267 | +$24 |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11? | Yes | 400 | $0.460 | $246 | +$62 |
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 300 | $0.700 | $217.5 | +$7.5 |
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | No | 220.26 | $0.908 | $213.55 | +$13.55 |
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026? | No | 200 | $0.820 | $198.5 | +$34.5 |
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | No | 200 | $0.870 | $193.5 | +$19.5 |
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year? | No | 200 | $0.910 | $189 | +$7 |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 200 | $0.830 | $171 | +$5 |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | Yes | 396.21 | $0.225 | $170.37 | +$81.2 |
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | No | 240 | $0.810 | $164.4 | -$30 |
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? | No | 211.52 | $0.530 | $152.29 | +$40.19 |
Will Solana reach $120 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 234.2 | $0.569 | $148.72 | +$15.46 |
Fed rate hike in 2026? | Yes | 200 | $0.690 | $141 | +$3 |
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | Yes | 135.14 | $0.740 | $129.8 | +$29.8 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes | 629.87 | $0.595 | $122.82 | -$252.17 |
Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026? | No | 120 | $0.770 | $111 | +$18.6 |
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 121.94 | $0.744 | $101.39 | +$10.69 |
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? | No | 121.52 | $0.822 | $100.25 | +$0.41 |
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? | Yes | 300 | $0.290 | $99 | +$12 |
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 200 | $0.460 | $98 | +$6 |
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | No | 100 | $0.770 | $93.5 | +$16.5 |
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 190.25 | $0.520 | $92.27 | -$6.66 |
| buy |
| 40 |
| $0.160 |
| $6.4 |
| 23h ago |
LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.130 | $7.8 | 23h ago |
Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 77.02 | $0.220 | $16.94 | 4d ago |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.230 | $46 | 7d ago |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 18?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.490 | $98 | 7d ago |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?Yes | buy | 184.99 | $0.460 | $85.1 | 7d ago |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30?Yes | buy | 110 | $0.600 | $66 | 7d ago |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 18?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.490 | $98 | 7d ago |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.460 | $92 | 7d ago |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 196.21 | $0.220 | $43.17 | 7d ago |
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 1, 2026?No | buy | 200 | $0.580 | $116 | 8d ago |
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $280 end of August?Yes | buy | 22.47 | $0.990 | $22.25 | 9d ago |
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $280 end of August?Yes | buy | 17.75 | $0.989 | $17.55 | 9d ago |
Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on August 31?Down | buy | 100 | $0.630 | $63 | 9d ago |
Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 99.99 | $0.340 | $34 | 13d ago |
Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.350 | $35 | 13d ago |
Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 80 | $0.370 | $29.6 | 13d ago |
Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 200 | $0.570 | $114 | 13d ago |
Will Solana reach $120 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 34.2 | $0.680 | $23.26 | 13d ago |
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in August?Yes | buy | 29 | $0.220 | $6.38 | 13d ago |
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in August?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.210 | $2.1 | 13d ago |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | buy | 99.99 | $0.340 | $34 | 13d ago |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | buy | 99.99 | $0.340 | $34 | 13d ago |
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 23, 2026?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.034 | $10.2 | 13d ago |
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 23, 2026?Yes | buy | 90 | $0.033 | $2.97 | 13d ago |
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 23, 2026?No | sell | 146.66 | $0.990 | $145.19 | 13d ago |
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $198 Week of August 24 2026?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.080 | $24 | 13d ago |
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 Week of August 24 2026?No | buy | 40 | $0.930 | $37.2 | 13d ago |
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $200 Week of August 24 2026?No | buy | 31 | $0.880 | $27.28 | 13d ago |
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $216 Week of August 24 2026?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.930 | $27.9 | 13d ago |
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.8% before 2027?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.039 | $0.39 | 13d ago |
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.490 | $49 | 13d ago |
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase August 25-31?No | buy | 94.2 | $0.800 | $75.36 | 14d ago |
Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $75 Week of August 24 2026?Yes | buy | 232 | $0.120 | $27.84 | 15d ago |
Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $85 Week of August 24 2026?Yes | buy | 240 | $0.130 | $31.2 | 15d ago |
Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $87.50 Week of August 24 2026?Yes | buy | 69 | $0.070 | $4.83 | 15d ago |
Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $62 Week of August 24 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.160 | $8 | 15d ago |
Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $60 Week of August 24 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.100 | $10 | 15d ago |
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $600 Week of August 24 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.160 | $16 | 15d ago |
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $397.50 Week of August 24 2026?Yes | buy | 98.71 | $0.050 | $4.94 | 15d ago |
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $397.50 Week of August 24 2026?Yes | buy | 34 | $0.030 | $1.02 | 15d ago |
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $390 Week of August 24 2026?Yes | buy | 134 | $0.043 | $5.76 | 15d ago |
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $397.50 Week of August 24 2026?Yes | buy | 63.47 | $0.029 | $1.84 | 15d ago |
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 Week of August 24 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.060 | $6 | 15d ago |
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.10 Week of August 24 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.090 | $9 | 15d ago |
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.00 Week of August 24 2026?Yes | buy | 88 | $0.110 | $9.68 | 15d ago |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 Week of August 24 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.028 | $2.8 | 15d ago |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 Week of August 24 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.028 | $2.8 | 15d ago |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 Week of August 24 2026?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.026 | $1.04 | 15d ago |