Analytics
Paper trading
Resolved No on 9 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 43.5% on 27 Jul 2026. Before it settled, the high was 44% on 4 Aug 2026 and the low 0.1% on 9 Aug 2026. Its largest one-day move was 43 points down, to 0.1% on 9 Aug 2026. $4.65K traded over the market's life.
25 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 9, 11:55 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 13 points, 27 Jul 2026 – 9 Aug 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 Jul 2026 | 43.5% |
| 9 Aug 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Neon Kestrel 2504 | Yes | 1.18K |
| deftker | Yes | 288.89 |
| Forecastication2 | Yes | 242 |
| GooberThaGooner | Yes | 108.51 |
| Dagestan1 | Yes | 104.35 |
| LineLock | Yes | 88.89 |
| Lunar Ledger 8FA8 | Yes | 63.83 |
| Silver Summit 4B10 | Yes | 49.66 |
| Azure Pulse AC0F | Yes | 47.62 |
| Exciting-Antiquity-Practice | Yes | 36.17 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Steven Asplund defeats Guilherme Pat at UFC Fight Night: Gamrot vs Salkilld, scheduled for August 8, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond August 22, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-ste36-gui2-2026-08-08
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