Analytics
Resolved Alvi Dasuyev on 23 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Alvi Dasuyev at 71%. The Jaden Ortega side opened at 50% on 17 Sep 2026. Before it settled, the high was 50% on 17 Sep 2026 and the low 26% on 19 Sep 2026. Its largest one-day move was 22 points down, to 27.5% on 18 Sep 2026. $76.32K traded over the market's life.
52 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 24, 1:32 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Jaden Ortega price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 17 Sep 2026 – 23 Sep 2026, chart shows 20%–60%
| Observed | Jaden Ortega price |
|---|---|
| 17 Sep 2026 | 50.0% |
| 23 Sep 2026 | 29.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Judas-Priest | Jaden Ortega | 4.14K |
| Substantial-Service | Jaden Ortega | 4K |
| wr0ngw4yb3tt0r | Jaden Ortega | 2.06K |
| smallf | Jaden Ortega | 980.85 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Jaden Ortega" if Jaden Ortega is officially declared the winner of the fight against Alvi Dasuyev at Dana White's Contender Series: Season 10, Week 7, scheduled for September 22, 2026. It will resolve to "Alvi Dasuyev" if Alvi Dasuyev is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 6, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-jadort-alvdas-2026-09-22
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Silver Ledger 2B75 | Jaden Ortega | 920.9 |
| LiquidatedDegen | Jaden Ortega | 841.79 |
| Stained-Wasabi | Jaden Ortega | 500 |
| lomatic | Jaden Ortega | 485.25 |
| Complicated-Chassis | Jaden Ortega | 399.99 |
| Sleepyness | Jaden Ortega | 349.99 |
