Analytics
Yes is at 30.5%, down 20 points from 50% when the market opened on 20 Oct 2026.
Across the 2 daily closes on record from 20 Oct 2026 to 21 Oct 2026, the price held at 50%. The current quote, 30.5%, is below every close in that window; the latest close was 50% on 21 Oct 2026.
It is one of 19 markets under “UFC 333: Daniel Santos vs. Bolaji Oki (Featherweight, Early Prelims)”.
$5.61 traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $3.76K, with a 3.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
The largest Yes position is Oddball-Athletics-Lunge with 6 shares; the largest No position is RadioFreeZerg with 5.
Trading closes on 25 Oct 2026, 2 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 23, 4:04 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 20 Oct 2026 – 21 Oct 2026, chart shows 45%–55%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 20 Oct 2026 | 50.0% |
| 21 Oct 2026 | 50.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Oddball-Athletics-Lunge | Yes | 5.61 |
| RadioFreeZerg | No | 5 |
| VeryLucky888 | No | 0.61 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Daniel Santos and Bolaji Oki at UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev, scheduled for October 24, 2026, officially ends before Round 2 begins. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." A stoppage between rounds, including a doctor or corner stoppage, counts as ending in the round that has just been completed, so a fight stopped between Round 1 and Round 2 will resolve "Yes." If the fight goes to the judges' scorecards after all scheduled rounds are completed, it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 7, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC. This market may resolve only when the listed period of play has concluded and the result can be definitively determined by the listed resolution source(s).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-dsanto-bol-2026-10-24
6 more markets, none above 44.0%.
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