Analytics
Resolved No on 24 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 83.5%. Yes opened at 50% on 20 Oct 2026. Before it settled, across the 4 daily closes on record from 20 Oct 2026 to 24 Oct 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 50% on 20 Oct 2026 and the lowest 16.5% on 24 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 34 points down, to 16.5% on 24 Oct 2026. $155.45 traded over the market's life.
3 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 25, 2:58 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 20 Oct 2026 – 24 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 20 Oct 2026 | 50.0% |
| 24 Oct 2026 | 16.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Bolaji Oki defeats Daniel Santos at UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev, scheduled for October 24, 2026, by KO, TKO, or submission that ends the fight in Round 1, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." A stoppage between rounds, including a doctor or corner stoppage, counts as ending in the round that has just been completed. If the fight is won in a different round, is won by decision, ends in a draw, or is won by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 7, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC. This market may resolve only when the listed period of play has concluded and the result can be definitively determined by the listed resolution source(s).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-dsanto-bol-2026-10-24
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