Analytics
Yes is at 31.5%, down 19 points from 50% when the market opened on 25 Oct 2026.
Across the 3 daily closes on record from 25 Oct 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (2 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 50% on 25 Oct 2026 and the lowest 31% on 28 Oct 2026.
It is one of 19 markets under “UFC Fight Night: Dakota Hope vs. Francis Marshall (Featherweight, Main Card)”.
The order book holds $1.9K, with a 35.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
Trading closes on 1 Nov 2026, 4 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 9:40 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 25 Oct 2026 – 28 Oct 2026, chart shows 20%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 25 Oct 2026 | 50.0% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 31.5% |
Polymarket lists no holders for this market.
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Dakota Hope and Francis Marshall at UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Nolan, scheduled for October 31, 2026, ends by submission, including tapout, verbal submission, or technical submission (referee stoppage due to a submission hold). Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 14, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-dhope-fra8-2026-10-31
7 more markets, none above 28.0%.
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