Analytics
The Dakota Hope side is at 33%, about where the market opened on 25 Oct 2026.
Across the 3 daily closes on record from 25 Oct 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 33% on 28 Oct 2026 and the lowest 32.5% on 25 Oct 2026.
It is one of 19 markets under “UFC Fight Night: Dakota Hope vs. Francis Marshall (Featherweight, Main Card)”.
$1.59K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $2.04K since listing. The order book holds $9.86K, with a 2.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
The largest Dakota Hope position is jcasino with 1.4K shares; the largest Francis Marshall position is VeryLucky888 with 1.4K. Ten wallets hold 98% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Nov 2026, 5 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 3:34 AM UTC
The paper ticket needs a verified Yes / No pair, which this market does not have here.
Open in PredictionsDaily closes of the Dakota Hope price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 25 Oct 2026 – 28 Oct 2026, chart shows 25%–40%
| Observed | Dakota Hope price |
|---|---|
| 25 Oct 2026 | 32.5% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 33.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| VeryLucky888 | Francis Marshall | 1.4K |
| jcasino | Dakota Hope | 1.4K |
| Kolemba | Dakota Hope | 312.88 |
This market will resolve to "Dakota Hope" if Dakota Hope is officially declared the winner of the fight against Francis Marshall at UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Nolan, scheduled for October 31, 2026. It will resolve to "Francis Marshall" if Francis Marshall is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 14, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-dhope-fra8-2026-10-31
7 more markets, none above 27.5%.
| Derpp68 | Francis Marshall | 175 |
| omnibus-076daa | Francis Marshall | 71.14 |
| 1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb9 | Francis Marshall | 30 |
| suntori | Dakota Hope | 28.85 |
| rplc-ftbl | Francis Marshall | 15 |
| botmy | Francis Marshall | 15 |
| ameisgoat11 | Francis Marshall | 12.94 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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