Trump to speak at Bitcoin 2024 conference?

cryptoResolved

Yes, settled Jul 11, 2024 UTC

Yes

100.0%

0.0%

Final Yes 100¢Final No 0¢

Lifetime volume

$17.1K

Resolved

Yes

Settled

Jul 11, 2024 UTC

Topic roomBitcoin Price Trump and the White House

Where it stands

Resolved Yes on 11 Jul 2024.

The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.4%. Yes opened at 55.5% on 25 Jun 2024. Before it settled, across the 17 daily closes on record from 25 Jun 2024 to 11 Jul 2024, the highest close was 99.4% on 11 Jul 2024 and the lowest 36% on 9 Jul 2024. Its largest one-day move was 56 points up, to 99.4% on 11 Jul 2024. $17.07K traded over the market's life.

7 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Jul 12, 12:54 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 17 points, 25 Jun 2024 – 11 Jul 2024

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
25 Jun 2024	55.5%
11 Jul 2024	99.4%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
rashad94	No	300
hhhh666	No	64.52
recouso	No	50

7 of 7 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

On June 24, X account @WatcherGuru posted that Donald Trump is in talks to speak at Bitcoin 2024, currently scheduled for July 25-27. You can see that post here: https://x.com/WatcherGuru/status/1805308397904085421 This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is announced that Donald Trump will attend Bitcoin 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve according to the first announcement made on whether Trump will or will not attend the conference. If no announcement is made either way by the beginning of the conference, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is necessary only that an announcement be made by Donald Trump, Bitcoin 2024, and/or the named's official representatives that Donald Trump will be in attendance. If he later cancels or does not attend, it will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source will be announcements by Donald Trump, Bitcoin 2024, and/or the named's official representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.