Analytics
Resolved No on 2 Jul 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 7.5% on 24 May 2025. Before it settled, across the 40 daily closes on record from 24 May 2025 to 2 Jul 2025, the highest close was 10.5% on 26 May 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 2 Jul 2025. Its largest one-day move was 5.3 points down, to 0.1% on 2 Jul 2025. $56.48K traded over the market's life.
20 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 2, 4:24 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 40 points, 24 May 2025 – 2 Jul 2025, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 24 May 2025 | 7.5% |
| 2 Jul 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Ladysolsol | Yes | 2.15K |
| Deep-Coil | Yes | 1K |
| AdrianADA | Yes | 142.86 |
| Gabrielpaun | Yes | 131.46 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation or performs any executive action enacting a specific tariff on any products produced by Apple by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only tariffs specifically targeting Apple products will qualify. For example, a general tariff (tariffs on all imports into the U.S.), country-specific tariff (tariffs on all imports from a specific country, e.g., Canada or China), or sector-specific tariffs (tariffs on all imports of electronics using chips manufactured in Taiwan) will not count toward this market's resolution. Tariffs on Apple products from a specific country will qualify. Any tariff which is officially enacted within the market's time frame will qualify, regardless of when the tariff goes into effect. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/trump-tariffs-apple-before-july
| luhig1314 | Yes | 105.26 |
| Evdog | Yes | 45.45 |
| estevamts | Yes | 41.67 |
| Ashamed-Weird | Yes | 33.76 |
| babylina | Yes | 28.57 |
| kiwipunter | Yes | 14.29 |
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