Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 6.85 | $0.730 | $5.2 | +$0.2 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | sell | 26.31 | $0.470 | $12.37 | Jan 21, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 217.39 |
| $0.023 |
| $4.02 |
| -$0.98 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Yes | 35.71 | $0.140 | $1.34 | -$3.66 |
 Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 38.46 | $0.260 | $0.02 | -$9.98 |
| buy |
| 22.73 |
| $0.220 |
| $5 |
| Jan 6, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 35.71 | $0.140 | $5 | Jan 6, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | buy | 41.67 | $0.120 | $5 | Jan 6, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture Shakhove by October 31?No | buy | 6.02 | $0.830 | $5 | Oct 21, 2025 |
 OpenAI becomes a for-profit in 2025?No | sell | 6.38 | $0.840 | $5.36 | Oct 21, 2025 |
 Bitcoin more valuable than any company in 2025?No | buy | 20.3 | $0.985 | $20 | Oct 21, 2025 |
 Zuckerberg divorce in 2025?Yes | buy | 26.32 | $0.038 | $1 | Oct 21, 2025 |
 Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California in 2025?No | buy | 13.02 | $0.768 | $10 | Oct 21, 2025 |
 Will NVIDIA be the most valuable company on October 31?Yes | buy | 20.43 | $0.979 | $20 | Oct 21, 2025 |
 Kraken IPO in 2025?No | sell | 5.88 | $0.967 | $5.69 | Oct 21, 2025 |
| Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 38.46 | $0.260 | $10 | Oct 12, 2025 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 26.32 | $0.380 | $10 | Oct 12, 2025 |
 GTA VI released in 2025?No | sell | 2.09 | $0.966 | $2.02 | Oct 12, 2025 |
 Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?No | sell | 1.21 | $0.910 | $1.1 | Oct 12, 2025 |
| Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?No | buy | 1.22 | $0.820 | $1 | Sep 7, 2025 |
 $YZY listed on Coinbase or Binance by September 30?No | buy | 5.19 | $0.963 | $5 | Sep 7, 2025 |
 Trump renames Department of Defense by September 30?No | buy | 11.6 | $0.086 | $1 | Sep 5, 2025 |
 Will iPhone 17 cost more than iPhone 16?No | sell | 8.92 | $0.800 | $7.14 | Sep 5, 2025 |
| Will iPhone 17 cost more than iPhone 16?No | buy | 8.93 | $0.560 | $5 | Aug 26, 2025 |
 Will Gemini 3.0 be released by August 31?No | buy | 5.27 | $0.948 | $5 | Aug 26, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 31?No | sell | 1.19 | $0.971 | $1.16 | Aug 26, 2025 |
 X relaunches Vine in 2025?No | sell | 1.4 | $0.880 | $1.23 | Aug 26, 2025 |
 Will OpenAI launch a token in 2025?No | buy | 2.11 | $0.950 | $2 | Aug 18, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Rodynske by August 31?No | sell | 3.22 | $0.650 | $2.09 | Aug 18, 2025 |
 Trump Mobile smartphone released before September?No | sell | 5.12 | $0.991 | $5.07 | Aug 18, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin dip below $100k before 2026?No | buy | 1.89 | $0.530 | $1 | Aug 14, 2025 |
| Will Russia capture Rodynske by August 31?No | buy | 3.23 | $0.310 | $1 | Aug 14, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?Yes | buy | 5.08 | $0.985 | $5 | Aug 14, 2025 |
 Israel strikes Yemen by August 15?No | sell | 2.43 | $0.958 | $2.33 | Aug 14, 2025 |
 Will Trump try to fire Powell by August 31?No | sell | 5.17 | $0.976 | $5.05 | Aug 14, 2025 |
| Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 217.39 | $0.023 | $5 | Aug 5, 2025 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 6.85 | $0.730 | $5 | Aug 5, 2025 |
 Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?No | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Aug 5, 2025 |
| Israel strikes Yemen by August 15?No | buy | 2.44 | $0.410 | $1 | Aug 5, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 31?No | buy | 1.19 | $0.840 | $1 | Aug 5, 2025 |
| Will Trump try to fire Powell by August 31?No | buy | 5.18 | $0.966 | $5 | Aug 5, 2025 |
 X Money launch in 2025?No | buy | 1.72 | $0.580 | $1 | Aug 5, 2025 |
| Trump Mobile smartphone released before September?No | buy | 5.13 | $0.975 | $5 | Aug 5, 2025 |
 Will Apple acquire Perplexity before September?No | buy | 5.17 | $0.968 | $5 | Aug 5, 2025 |
| OpenAI becomes a for-profit in 2025?No | buy | 6.38 | $0.470 | $3 | Aug 5, 2025 |
| Kraken IPO in 2025?No | buy | 5.88 | $0.850 | $5 | Aug 5, 2025 |
| GTA VI released in 2025?No | buy | 2.09 | $0.955 | $2 | Aug 5, 2025 |
| X relaunches Vine in 2025?No | buy | 1.41 | $0.710 | $1 | Aug 5, 2025 |
 Will GPT-5 be released by August 5?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.985 | $1 | Aug 5, 2025 |
| Will GPT-5 be released by August 15?No | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | Aug 5, 2025 |
| Will GPT-5 be released by August 10?No | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | Aug 5, 2025 |
 Xi Jinping out in 2025?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Jul 20, 2025 |
 US x Iran ceasefire before July?Yes | buy | 45.45 | $0.110 | $5 | Jun 24, 2025 |
 Iran strike on Qatar today?No | buy | 10.16 | $0.492 | $5 | Jun 23, 2025 |