Analytics
Resolved No on 2 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.7%. Yes opened at 7.5% on 27 May 2026. Before it settled, across the 37 daily closes on record from 27 May 2026 to 2 Jul 2026, the highest close was 7.5% on 27 May 2026 and the lowest 0.3% on 30 Jun 2026. $27.65K traded over the market's life.
49 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 2, 9:36 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 37 points, 27 May 2026 – 2 Jul 2026, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 May 2026 | 7.5% |
| 2 Jul 2026 | 0.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Golden Beacon 67A6 | Yes | 5.7K |
| gambler-666 | Yes | 1.95K |
| for-the-lulz | Yes | 1K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly announces, that the United States will officially refer to the Strait of Hormuz as the "Strait of Trump" or "Trump Strait" or any equivalent name which includes "Trump" by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/trump-renames-strait-of-hormuz-to-strait-of-trump-by-june-30
| Yes |
| 709.11 |
| Skinny-Class | Yes | 500 |
| 007x007 | Yes | 421.57 |
| Serg001 | Yes | 400 |
| Stimulating-Nestling | Yes | 245.83 |
| M5an | Yes | 172.41 |
| Luckee | Yes | 130 |
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