Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Sep 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.4%. Yes opened at 71% on 7 Aug 2025. Before it settled, across the 26 daily closes on record from 7 Aug 2025 to 1 Sep 2025, the highest close was 71% on 7 Aug 2025 and the lowest 0.6% on 1 Sep 2025. Its largest one-day move was 41 points down, to 30.5% on 8 Aug 2025. $16.28K traded over the market's life.
16 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 2, 12:55 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 26 points, 7 Aug 2025 – 1 Sep 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2025 | 71.0% |
| 1 Sep 2025 | 0.6% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| RobXK | Yes | 1.5K |
| potholderz | Yes | 250 |
| Cheemzz | Yes | 185.77 |
| lissartter | Yes | 134.01 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation or performs any executive action enacting a tariff on imports of pharmaceuticals into the United States by August 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only tariffs specifically targeting pharmaceuticals will qualify. For example, a general tariff (tariffs on all imports into the U.S.) or country-specific tariff (tariffs on all imports from China) will not count toward this market's resolution. Tariffs on pharmaceuticals from a specific country will qualify. Any tariff which is officially enacted within the market's time frame will qualify, regardless of when the tariff goes into effect. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible information will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/trump-imposes-tariff-on-pharmaceuticals-by-august-31
| moongatandAk | Yes | 124.04 |
| hedge3002 | Yes | 20.78 |
| miqiudundun | Yes | 13.89 |
| mcdonaldxxx | Yes | 10 |
| babypanda | Yes | 4.17 |
| fjhodj | Yes | 4.15 |
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