Analytics
Resolved No on 1 May 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.2%. Yes opened at 27.5% on 15 Apr 2025. Before it settled, the high was 27.5% on 15 Apr 2025 and the low 0.9% on 1 May 2025. Its largest one-day move was 9 points down, to 11.5% on 24 Apr 2025. $121.91K traded over the market's life.
7 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 2, 8:20 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 17 points · 15 Apr 2025 – 1 May 2025 · axis zoomed to 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 15 Apr 2025 | 27.5% |
| 1 May 2025 | 0.9% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| yoony22 | Yes | 130.43 |
| noteu4guy | Yes | 107.47 |
| AGR747 | Yes | 5 |
| theamityaff | No | 0.02 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation or performs any executive action enacting a tariff on imports of pharmaceuticals into the United States by April 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only tariffs specifically targeting pharmaceuticals will qualify. For example, a general tariff (tariffs on all imports into the U.S.) or country specific tariff (tariffs on all imports from China) will not count toward this market's resolution. Tariffs on pharmaceuticals from a specific country will qualify. Any tariff which is officially enacted within the market's time frame will qualify, regardless of when the tariff goes into effect. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/trump-imposes-tariff-on-pharmaceuticals-before-may
| TYriplecheese | No | 0.01 |
| bigboops | No | 0.01 |
| SuARas | No | 0.01 |
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