Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Kilmar Abrego Garcia released from custody before July?Yes | buy | 1.42K | $0.092 | $131.03 | Jun 6, 2025 |
 |
| sell |
| 1.18K |
| $0.092 |
| $107.98 |
| Jun 6, 2025 |
 U.S. citizens transferred to El Salvador before July?Yes | sell | 1.31K | $0.027 | $35.95 | Jun 6, 2025 |
| Kilmar Abrego Garcia released from custody before July?Yes | buy | 458.63 | $0.218 | $99.87 | Apr 29, 2025 |
 Will India invade Pakistan before July?Yes | buy | 906.74 | $0.221 | $200 | Apr 29, 2025 |
 Liberals win majority in Canadian election?Yes | buy | 358.07 | $0.690 | $247.22 | Apr 29, 2025 |
 Will Pierre Poilievre lose his seat?Yes | buy | 303.03 | $0.198 | $60 | Apr 29, 2025 |
 Will the Liberal Party win the most seats in the next Canadian election?Yes | sell | 310.64 | $0.989 | $307.22 | Apr 29, 2025 |
| Will Pierre Poilievre lose his seat?Yes | buy | 19.42 | $0.086 | $1.67 | Apr 24, 2025 |
| U.S. citizens transferred to El Salvador before July?Yes | buy | 1.31K | $0.070 | $92 | Apr 23, 2025 |
 Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal majority?Yes | sell | 133.33 | $0.650 | $86.66 | Apr 23, 2025 |
 Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% in April?Yes | buy | 357.14 | $0.014 | $5 | Apr 20, 2025 |
 Will the Ottawa Senators win the 2025 Stanley Cup?Yes | buy | 648.37 | $0.023 | $15 | Apr 19, 2025 |
 Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2025 Stanley Cup?Yes | buy | 627.29 | $0.024 | $15 | Apr 19, 2025 |
| U.S. citizens transferred to El Salvador before July?Yes | sell | 600 | $0.070 | $42 | Apr 19, 2025 |
| Kilmar Abrego Garcia released from custody in April?Yes | buy | 149.04 | $0.094 | $14 | Apr 19, 2025 |
| Kilmar Abrego Garcia released from custody before July?Yes | buy | 172.18 | $0.407 | $70 | Apr 19, 2025 |
| Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal majority?Yes | sell | 133.33 | $0.630 | $84 | Apr 19, 2025 |
 Trump imposes tariff on pharmaceuticals before May?Yes | buy | 107.47 | $0.186 | $20 | Apr 17, 2025 |
 Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% in April?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.170 | $17 | Apr 17, 2025 |
| Will the Liberal Party win the most seats in the next Canadian election?Yes | buy | 310.65 | $0.741 | $230.08 | Apr 17, 2025 |
| Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal majority?Yes | buy | 266.67 | $0.600 | $160 | Apr 17, 2025 |
| U.S. citizens transferred to El Salvador before July?Yes | buy | 600 | $0.100 | $60 | Apr 17, 2025 |
| Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | buy | 1.18K | $0.170 | $200 | Apr 17, 2025 |
 U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico before May?Yes | buy | 612.11 | $0.033 | $20 | Apr 17, 2025 |
 US 10Y Treasury yield above 5% by June 30?Yes | buy | 104.2 | $0.250 | $26.05 | Apr 14, 2025 |
 Will Trump lower tariffs on China in April?No | buy | 1.5K | $0.008 | $12 | Apr 14, 2025 |