Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jul 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.6%. Yes opened at 42% on 26 Feb 2025. Before it settled, across the 126 daily closes on record from 26 Feb 2025 to 1 Jul 2025, the highest close was 43.5% on 27 Feb 2025 and the lowest 0.4% on 1 Jul 2025. Its largest one-day move was 13 points down, to 21% on 5 Mar 2025. $205.56K traded over the market's life.
30 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 2, 8:24 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 126 points, 26 Feb 2025 – 1 Jul 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 26 Feb 2025 | 42.0% |
| 1 Jul 2025 | 0.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Lunar Meteor EFE6 | Yes | 1.22K |
| herewe | Yes | 590 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 484 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one cabinet-level Donald Trump appointee from his second term leaves their position by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Voluntary resignations, removals, retirements, or departures for any reason will count. Announcements alone will not qualify toward this market's resolution. An individual must actually have left their cabinet-level position. Temporary or acting officials will not count toward this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/trump-cabinet-member-out-before-july
| Yes |
| 200.03 |
| TinZen | No | 75 |
| DavidBe | Yes | 61.53 |
| Kiwi62 | Yes | 46.88 |
| bobross1337 | Yes | 34 |
| dnlaie86 | Yes | 30.3 |
| BigBen7448 | Yes | 25.64 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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