Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | buy | 35.82 | $0.670 | $24 | Jun 21, 2025 |
 |
| sell |
| 35.71 |
| $0.110 |
| $3.93 |
| Jun 6, 2025 |
 Musk out as Tesla CEO in 2025?Yes | sell | 6.25 | $0.100 | $0.63 | May 22, 2025 |
 Will Paris Saint-Germain win the UEFA Champions League?Yes | sell | 33.84 | $0.584 | $19.76 | May 16, 2025 |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain win the UEFA Champions League?Yes | buy | 33.84 | $0.591 | $20 | May 8, 2025 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense before July?Yes | sell | 58.82 | $0.160 | $9.41 | May 8, 2025 |
 Will Aaron Rodgers retire?Yes | sell | 46.75 | $0.099 | $4.64 | May 8, 2025 |
 Will the next Pope be from Asia?Yes | sell | 90 | $0.010 | $0.9 | May 8, 2025 |
| Will the next Pope be from Africa?Yes | sell | 277.03 | $0.004 | $1.11 | May 8, 2025 |
| Will the next Pope be from Europe?Yes | sell | 142.61 | $0.030 | $4.28 | May 8, 2025 |
| Will the next Pope be from Europe?Yes | buy | 142.62 | $0.708 | $100.91 | May 8, 2025 |
 Will the next Pope require 3–4 ballots?Yes | sell | 83.33 | $0.946 | $78.83 | May 8, 2025 |
| Will the next Pope be from Asia?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.150 | $6 | May 8, 2025 |
| Will the next Pope be from Africa?Yes | buy | 81.51 | $0.061 | $5 | May 8, 2025 |
| Will the next Pope be from Africa?Yes | buy | 128.47 | $0.078 | $10 | May 8, 2025 |
| Will the next Pope be from Africa?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.029 | $0.58 | May 8, 2025 |
 Will John Mulaney actually fight children?No | sell | 29.79 | $0.523 | $15.58 | May 7, 2025 |
 Will Trump increase sanctions on Russia before June?No | sell | 21.23 | $0.600 | $12.74 | May 7, 2025 |
 Circle IPO in 2025?No | sell | 44.68 | $0.240 | $10.72 | May 7, 2025 |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain win the UEFA Champions League?Yes | sell | 11.76 | $0.472 | $5.55 | May 7, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after May 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.5K | $0.002 | $3 | May 3, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 157.89 | $0.019 | $3 | May 3, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?No | sell | 357.14 | $0.018 | $6.43 | May 3, 2025 |
 Will Jerome Powell say "Ukraine" during the May meeting?Yes | buy | 24 | $0.216 | $5.18 | May 2, 2025 |
 Negative GDP growth in Q2 2025?Yes | buy | 10.64 | $0.470 | $5 | May 2, 2025 |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain win the UEFA Champions League?Yes | buy | 11.76 | $0.425 | $5 | May 2, 2025 |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense before July?Yes | buy | 58.82 | $0.170 | $10 | May 2, 2025 |
| Will the next Pope be from Asia?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.200 | $10 | May 2, 2025 |
| Circle IPO in 2025?No | buy | 44.69 | $0.224 | $10 | May 2, 2025 |
| Will Trump increase sanctions on Russia before June?No | buy | 21.23 | $0.471 | $10 | May 2, 2025 |
 Will Trump attend F1 Miami GP?Yes | buy | 30.91 | $0.324 | $10 | May 2, 2025 |
 Trump cabinet member out before July?Yes | buy | 25.64 | $0.390 | $10 | May 2, 2025 |
| Will the next Pope require 3–4 ballots?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.240 | $20 | May 2, 2025 |
| Will John Mulaney actually fight children?No | buy | 29.79 | $0.336 | $10 | May 2, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?No | buy | 357.14 | $0.014 | $5 | May 2, 2025 |
 Will Buffett say "Semiconductor" during May 3 Shareholders Meeting?Yes | buy | 25.64 | $0.390 | $10 | May 2, 2025 |
 India military action against Pakistan before June?No | sell | 12.5 | $0.470 | $5.88 | May 2, 2025 |
| Musk out as Tesla CEO in 2025?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.160 | $1 | May 1, 2025 |
| US congress stock trading ban in 2025?Yes | buy | 35.71 | $0.140 | $5 | May 1, 2025 |
| India military action against Pakistan before June?No | buy | 12.5 | $0.400 | $5 | May 1, 2025 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: MayNo | buy | 30.3 | $0.330 | $10 | May 1, 2025 |
| Will Aaron Rodgers retire?Yes | buy | 46.75 | $0.107 | $5 | May 1, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 3+ times during his University of Alabama commencement speech?Yes | buy | 42.86 | $0.210 | $9 | May 1, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Mexico" during his University of Alabama commencement speech?Yes | buy | 19.3 | $0.259 | $5 | May 1, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Career" during his University of Alabama commencement speech?Yes | buy | 9.26 | $0.540 | $5 | May 1, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Child" during his University of Alabama commencement speech?Yes | buy | 19.35 | $0.310 | $6 | May 1, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Judge" during his University of Alabama commencement speech?Yes | buy | 23.08 | $0.260 | $6 | May 1, 2025 |
 Will U.S. GDP growth be between -1% and -2% in Q1 2025?Yes | buy | 47.28 | $0.423 | $20 | Apr 30, 2025 |
 Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal minority?Yes | buy | 14.63 | $0.820 | $12 | Apr 29, 2025 |
 Elon out of Trump administration before July?No | sell | 19.67 | $0.610 | $12 | Apr 29, 2025 |