Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the US not strike Iran by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 166.67 | $0.120 | $20 | Jan 26, 2026 |
|
| sell |
| 800.32 |
| $0.049 |
| $38.91 |
| Jan 24, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 31, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 800.32 | $0.025 | $20 | Jan 22, 2026 |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Yes | sell | 104.16 | $0.400 | $41.66 | Jan 21, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?Yes | sell | 73.52 | $0.060 | $4.41 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 15, 2026 (ET)?Yes | sell | 166.66 | $0.120 | $20 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Yes | buy | 104.17 | $0.240 | $25 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 15, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.150 | $25 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Will the US not strike Iran by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 150.75 | $0.663 | $100 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?Yes | buy | 73.53 | $0.340 | $25 | Jan 14, 2026 |
 Iran strike on US military by January 31?No | sell | 194.03 | $0.750 | $145.52 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Iran strike on US military by January 31?No | buy | 194.03 | $0.515 | $100 | Jan 14, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes | sell | 187.66 | $0.305 | $57.32 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes | buy | 187.66 | $0.266 | $50 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | sell | 270.27 | $0.530 | $143.24 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?Yes | sell | 454.54 | $0.180 | $81.82 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?Yes | buy | 454.55 | $0.110 | $50 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | buy | 270.27 | $0.370 | $100 | Jan 8, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 11?No | buy | 344.83 | $0.290 | $100 | Dec 10, 2025 |
 30-year mortgage rate below 6% by December 31?No | buy | 108.7 | $0.920 | $100 | Dec 9, 2025 |
 Kristi Noem out as Secretary of Homeland Security by December 31?No | buy | 107.08 | $0.934 | $100 | Dec 9, 2025 |
 Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025?No | buy | 117.65 | $0.085 | $10 | Dec 9, 2025 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?No | buy | 109.05 | $0.917 | $100 | Dec 3, 2025 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?No | buy | 17.18 | $0.873 | $15 | Dec 2, 2025 |
 Will the Bloc Québécois win the third most seats in the next Canadian Election?Yes | buy | 6.11 | $0.920 | $5.62 | Mar 31, 2025 |
 Will Trump's approval rating be between 46.0% and 46.4% on March 28?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.006 | $1 | Mar 26, 2025 |
 Trump cabinet member out before July?Yes | buy | 30.3 | $0.330 | $10 | Mar 26, 2025 |
 Energy infrastructure ceasefire in Ukraine in March?No | buy | 66.67 | $0.015 | $1 | Mar 26, 2025 |
 Will Ukraine control Demidovka on March 31?Yes | buy | 32.26 | $0.310 | $10 | Mar 26, 2025 |
| Will Trump's approval rating be less than 46.0% on March 28?Yes | buy | 981.81 | $0.005 | $5 | Mar 25, 2025 |
| Will Trump's approval rating be between 46.5% and 46.9% on March 28?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.080 | $10 | Mar 25, 2025 |
 Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?Yes | buy | 28.65 | $0.349 | $10 | Mar 20, 2025 |
 Will Trump impose large tariffs in his first 6 months?Yes | buy | 15.87 | $0.630 | $10 | Mar 20, 2025 |