Analytics
Resolved Yes on 28 Feb 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 41%. Yes opened at 55% on 20 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 9 daily closes on record from 20 Feb 2026 to 28 Feb 2026, the highest close was 55% on 20 Feb 2026 and the lowest 34% on 24 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 13 points down, to 34% on 24 Feb 2026. $11.19K traded over the market's life.
12 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 2, 12:25 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 9 points, 20 Feb 2026 – 28 Feb 2026, chart shows 20%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 20 Feb 2026 | 55.0% |
| 28 Feb 2026 | 41.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| LukeGamma | No | 2K |
| Descriptive-Generation | No | 572.36 |
| napplespie | No | 267.42 |
| xiaodouzi | No | 99.99 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a total internet blackout occurs in Iran by the specified date, 11:59 PM UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purposes of this market, a “total internet blackout” occurring means that, according to Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, total bytes transferred have fallen to 1.0% or less of the last 4 weeks’ Max for at least six consecutive hourly data points, as shown in the Traffic trends → Bytes transferred (Total bytes) chart for the last 4 weeks (https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d). The relevant figures for each hourly data point are listed in this chart as “__% of Max”. The Max for each data point will be the Max figure used in the chart by Cloudflare. Only the first of the relevant consecutive hourly data points must fall before this market’s resolution time. If required, to confirm the full sequence, the market will remain open until both relevant data points are observed. The primary resolution source for this market will be Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, specifically the Iran Traffic trends chart for the last 4 weeks found at https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/total-internet-blackout-in-iran-by
| MyLastStand | No | 59.99 |
| t189 | No | 50 |
| freakinaa | No | 10 |
| iliabouchouev | No | 5.9 |
| Overjoyed-Cashier | No | 5.29 |
| Buzz24816 | No | 2.08 |
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