Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures? | Yes | 37.08 | $0.506 | $2.41 | -$16.37 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor in a Motion Picture at the 2026 SAG Awards?No | sell | 5 | $0.770 | $3.85 | Feb 18, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 2.12 |
| $0.620 |
| $1.66 |
| +$0.35 |
 Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 3.27 | $0.340 | $1.32 | +$0.21 |
 Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? | No | 20 | $0.270 | $0.68 | -$4.72 |
 Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? | No | 0.74 | $0.780 | $0.37 | -$0.21 |
 U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027? | Yes | 0.58 | $0.310 | $0.05 | -$0.13 |
| sell |
| 17.28 |
| $0.360 |
| $6.22 |
| Feb 18, 2026 |
 Will Seattle have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in February?Yes | sell | 8.58 | $0.380 | $3.26 | Feb 18, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 13.19 | $0.740 | $9.76 | Feb 18, 2026 |
 Will Jon Bonck be the Republican Nominee for TX-38?Yes | sell | 16.66 | $0.770 | $12.83 | Feb 18, 2026 |
 Will Polymarket mindshare hit 85%?No | sell | 1.93 | $0.511 | $0.99 | Feb 18, 2026 |
 Will Seattle have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in February?No | sell | 9.81 | $0.667 | $6.55 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| Will Seattle have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in February?No | sell | 16.55 | $0.660 | $10.92 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| Will Polymarket mindshare hit 85%?No | sell | 8.07 | $0.511 | $4.12 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 15.45 | $0.740 | $11.43 | Feb 18, 2026 |
 Will Juan Pablo Velasco win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?No | sell | 32.43 | $0.811 | $26.29 | Feb 18, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "National Security" this week? (February 22)No | sell | 7.21 | $0.100 | $0.72 | Feb 18, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026?No | sell | 6.69 | $0.292 | $1.95 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.309 | $1.55 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026?No | sell | 27.85 | $0.289 | $8.05 | Feb 18, 2026 |
 Will "F1" win Best Editing at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?Yes | sell | 68.17 | $0.360 | $24.54 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "National Security" this week? (February 22)No | sell | 43.01 | $0.100 | $4.3 | Feb 18, 2026 |
 Will the Supreme Court rule on Trump's tarriffs by March 31?No | sell | 100.18 | $0.270 | $27.05 | Feb 18, 2026 |
 Will Wuthering Heights be the highest grossing movie this weekend?Yes | sell | 25.24 | $0.180 | $4.54 | Feb 18, 2026 |
 Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on February 19?Yes | sell | 8.06 | $0.110 | $0.89 | Feb 18, 2026 |
 Will Google have the #3 AI model at the end of February 2026?No | sell | 15.7 | $0.640 | $10.05 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "National Security" this week? (February 22)No | sell | 13.85 | $0.100 | $1.39 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "National Security" this week? (February 22)No | sell | 5.15 | $0.100 | $0.52 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026?No | sell | 5.15 | $0.291 | $1.5 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026?No | sell | 10.3 | $0.301 | $3.1 | Feb 18, 2026 |
 ChatGPT Outage by February 28?Yes | sell | 24.4 | $0.277 | $6.76 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| ChatGPT Outage by February 28?Yes | sell | 15.45 | $0.270 | $4.17 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| Will Wuthering Heights be the highest grossing movie this weekend?Yes | sell | 42.73 | $0.176 | $7.5 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| Will Google have the #3 AI model at the end of February 2026?No | sell | 44.3 | $0.640 | $28.35 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Democracy" this week? (February 22)No | sell | 15.63 | $0.580 | $9.07 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Democracy" this week? (February 22)No | sell | 20.53 | $0.580 | $11.91 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on February 19?Yes | sell | 8.56 | $0.110 | $0.94 | Feb 18, 2026 |
 Another critical Cloudflare incident by February 28, 2026?Yes | sell | 43.81 | $0.224 | $9.82 | Feb 18, 2026 |
 Gemini 3.5 released by April 30?Yes | sell | 10.35 | $0.390 | $4.04 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| Will Polymarket mindshare hit 80%?No | sell | 49.96 | $0.004 | $0.2 | Feb 17, 2026 |