Analytics
Yes is at 2.4%, down 22 points from 24.5% when the market opened on 14 Jan 2026.
Across the 254 daily closes on record from 14 Jan 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (34 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 37.5% on 24 Jan 2026 and the lowest 1.6% on 23 Sep 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 2.5%; a month before, 2.3%. Its largest one-day move was 25 points up, to 36% on 21 Jan 2026.
$66.09K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $3.72K, with a 0.6% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $1.78K bought Yes and $20.82K bought No; the largest was a $9.29K buy of No at 87.1¢.
The largest Yes position is feier with 1.5K shares; the largest No position is DEGENKHAN with 2.5K. Ten wallets hold 90% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 65 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 6:26 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 254 points, 14 Jan 2026 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 14 Jan 2026 | 24.5% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 2.4% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| DEGENKHAN | No | 2.53K |
| feier | Yes | 1.5K |
| thecaricature | Yes | 1.44K |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of Tom Lee by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/tom-lee-charged-by-december-31
| Elias.Thornwell |
| No |
| 595.17 |
| planktonXD | Yes | 442.01 |
| GTOrski1 | No | 405.26 |
| Dr.PNL | Yes | 337.47 |
| mamam2 | Yes | 150 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 138.84 |
| vitalitytens | No | 121.36 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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