Analytics
Yes is at 0.3%, down 26 points from 26.5% when the market opened on 19 May 2026.
The high was 28.1% on 24 Jul 2026 and the low 0.1% on 18 Sep 2026. A week ago Yes was at 0.3%; a month ago, 0.5%. Its largest one-day move was 27 points up, to 28.1% on 24 Jul 2026.
Tom Hardy ranks 13th of the 24 outcomes in “Next James Bond actor?”. Jack Lowden leads at 33.4%; No Bond chosen is at 31.8%.
$22.22K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $7.5K, with a 0.1% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 319 trades, $63.26 bought Yes and $8.62K bought No; the largest was a $1.08K buy of No at 95.3¢.
The largest Yes position is CriptanTDA with 7K shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 27.2K. Ten wallets hold 92.1% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 77 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 16, 5:26 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 151 points, 19 May 2026 – 16 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 19 May 2026 | 26.5% |
| 16 Oct 2026 | 0.3% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 27.23K |
| CriptanTDA | Yes | 7K |
| KiernanMeister | Yes | 4.88K |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/next-james-bond-actor-398
11 more outcomes, none above 0.3%.
| TheAlchemist2027 |
| Yes |
| 3.74K |
| linnuz | Yes | 2.2K |
| TradingBear | Yes | 1.62K |
| fiter | Yes | 1.41K |
| LornaPredicts | Yes | 929.75 |
| balthazar | Yes | 847.16 |
| JordanMooney | Yes | 655.77 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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