Analytics
Yes is at 0.4%, down 27 points from 27.5% when the market opened on 19 May 2026.
The high was 46.6% on 1 Jun 2026 and the low 0.1% on 4 Oct 2026. A week ago Yes was at 0.1%; a month ago, 0.4%. Its largest one-day move was 38 points down, to 7% on 7 Jun 2026.
Aaron Taylor-Johnson ranks 12th of the 24 outcomes in “Next James Bond actor?”. Jack Lowden leads at 34%; No Bond chosen is at 26.9%.
$1.06 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $33.34K since listing. The order book holds $14.67K, with a 0.1% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 388 trades, $493.08 bought Yes and $12.04K bought No; the largest was a $3.08K buy of No at 92.7¢.
The largest Yes position is CriptanTDA with 5.9K shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 27.2K. Ten wallets hold 85.4% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 78 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 15, 9:39 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 151 points, 19 May 2026 – 15 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 19 May 2026 | 27.5% |
| 15 Oct 2026 | 0.4% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 27.17K |
| CriptanTDA | Yes | 5.91K |
| Diplopia2 | Yes | 3.29K |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/next-james-bond-actor-398
12 more outcomes, none above 0.3%.
| KiernanMeister |
| Yes |
| 2.38K |
| aliiz | Yes | 2.3K |
| lupanar | Yes | 2.07K |
| observoor | Yes | 1.97K |
| Coral Falcon F544 | Yes | 1.84K |
| ImJustKenVerifiedVerified Polymarket profile | No | 1.67K |
| millietrrrrr | Yes | 1.3K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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