Will Ted Cruz post 140-159 posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026?

Resolved

No, settled Mar 27, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$9.9K

Resolved

Settled

Mar 27, 2026 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 27 Mar 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 88.5%. Yes opened at 22% on 18 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 9 daily closes on record from 18 Mar 2026 to 27 Mar 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 28% on 21 Mar 2026 and the lowest 7% on 25 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 11 points down, to 17% on 22 Mar 2026. $9.9K traded over the market's life.

19 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Mar 28, 5:05 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 9 points, 18 Mar 2026 – 27 Mar 2026, chart shows 0%–40%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
18 Mar 2026	22.0%
27 Mar 2026	11.5%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	1.95K
ProfitMuhammedPBUH	Yes	1.44K
qianbeicelue	Yes	300
0xRocket666	Yes	200

10 of 19 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve according to the number of times Ted Cruz (@tedcruz), posts on X between March 20, 12:00 PM ET and March 27, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Resolution source: https://x.com/tedcruz