Sweden Parliamentary Election: MP Over/Under 7%?

politicsResolved

Under, settled Sep 17, 2026 UTC

Over

0.0%

Under

100.0%

Final Over 0¢Final Under 100¢

Lifetime volume

$1.6K

Resolved

Under

Settled

Sep 17, 2026 UTC

Topic roomWorld elections

Where it stands

Resolved Under on 17 Sep 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had Under at 100%. The Over side opened at 44% on 14 Aug 2026. Before it settled, across the 35 daily closes on record from 14 Aug 2026 to 17 Sep 2026, the highest close was 71.5% on 10 Sep 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 17 Sep 2026. Its largest one-day move was 41 points down, to 0.5% on 15 Sep 2026. $1.63K traded over the market's life.

7 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Oct 7, 8:08 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Over price, Polymarket CLOB, 35 points, 14 Aug 2026 – 17 Sep 2026

Over price, first and latest
Observed	Over price
14 Aug 2026	44.0%
17 Sep 2026	0.1%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
manlets	Over	140
Devoted-Route	Over	109.49
augustdamonth	Over	101

7 of 7 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to “Over” if Green Party (MP) wins at least 7% of all valid votes in the specified election This market will resolve to “Under” if Green Party (MP) wins less than 7% of all valid votes in the specified election This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election. Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned parties. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).