
Resolved No on 11 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 97%. Yes opened at 3.4% on 9 May 2026. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 9 May 2026 to 11 May 2026, the highest close was 40.9% on 10 May 2026 and the lowest 3% on 11 May 2026. Its largest one-day move was 38 points down, to 3% on 11 May 2026. $10.99K traded over the market's life.
9 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 12, 7:46 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 9 May 2026 – 11 May 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 9 May 2026 | 3.4% |
| 11 May 2026 | 3.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Stan235 | Yes | 100 |
| TENETENET | Yes | 100 |
| .Menthe | Yes | 50 |
| triklozoid | Yes | 49.99 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on May 11?
Resolution source: https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/spy-closes-above-on-may-11-2026
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| 3few3er | Yes | 48 |
| Slothtrop | Yes | 11.31 |
| g4z3ll3 | Yes | 11.26 |
| rocketcrypto | Yes | 5 |
| Mojito9 | Yes | 3.04 |