
Resolved Yes on 15 Jun 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 27.5%. Yes opened at 14% on 13 Jun 2026. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 13 Jun 2026 to 15 Jun 2026, the highest close was 27.5% on 15 Jun 2026 and the lowest 14% on 13 Jun 2026. Its largest one-day move was 12 points up, to 26% on 14 Jun 2026. $13.29K traded over the market's life.
20 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 16, 8:19 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 13 Jun 2026 – 15 Jun 2026, chart shows 10%–35%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 13 Jun 2026 | 14.0% |
| 15 Jun 2026 | 27.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Dearest-Realm | No | 1.23K |
| KOMZY | No | 555.32 |
| supertrader0930 | No | 166.66 |
| puravida | No | 156.86 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on June 15?
Resolution source: https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/spy-closes-above-on-june-15-2026
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| TENETENET | No | 100 |
| dalopezos28 | No | 76.92 |
| TrashGirl | No | 50.21 |
| .Menthe | No | 50 |
| triklozoid | No | 50 |
| PPMT | No | 29.97 |