Analytics
Resolved Yes on 8 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 89%. Yes opened at 73% on 8 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 99 daily closes on record from 8 Jan 2026 to 8 May 2026 (22 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 91% on 7 May 2026 and the lowest 39% on 28 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 30 points down, to 43% on 1 Mar 2026. $8.92K traded over the market's life.
26 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 10, 10:05 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 99 points, 8 Jan 2026 – 8 May 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 8 Jan 2026 | 73.0% |
| 8 May 2026 | 89.0% |
3 more markets, none above 2.5%.
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| kuntro | No | 1K |
| Belated-Welcome-Roundabout | No | 1K |
| Griff-Craft | No | 336.71 |
What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of December 2026?
Resolution source: https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/spx-hit-dec-2026
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| TENETENET | No | 99.99 |
| CindyBubble | No | 89.47 |
| seadyeces | No | 75.57 |
| gambling227 | No | 51.08 |
| triklozoid | No | 50 |
| delabs1 | No | 37.2 |
| Rodion55 | No | 31.57 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
