- What is the “SPLC found guilty in 2026?” market asking?
- It asks whether the following will happen: SPLC found guilty in 2026? Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.
- What do the Yes and No prices mean?
- Right now Yes trades at 12.4¢ and No at 87.5¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 12.4% for Yes and 87.5% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.
- When does this market close?
- Trading is scheduled to close on Jan 1, 2027. After the close no new trades are accepted and the outcome is settled by the resolution source.
- How does this market resolve?
- On April 21, 2026, the United States Department of Justice announced an indictment against the Southern Poverty Law Center (SPLC) including charges of wire fraud and bank fraud, among others (see: https://www.npr.org/2026/04/21/g-s1-118275/southern-poverty-law-center-fraud-charges-paid-informants). This market will resolve to “Yes” if the SPLC is found guilty of any charges in this case by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If this case ends due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or results in any situation in which no…
- What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?
- 24h volume ($15) is the dollar value of shares traded in the last 24 hours; liquidity ($291.32) is the dollar value resting in the order book. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.
