What is the “SPLC found guilty in 2026?” market asking?
It asks whether the following will happen: SPLC found guilty in 2026? Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.
What do the Yes and No prices mean?
Right now Yes trades at 7.0¢ and No at 93.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 7.0% for Yes and 93.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.
When does this market close?
Trading is scheduled to close on Jan 1, 2027 UTC. After the close no new trades are accepted and the outcome is settled by the resolution source.
How does this market resolve?
On April 21, 2026, the United States Department of Justice announced an indictment against the Southern Poverty Law Center (SPLC) including charges of wire fraud and bank fraud, among others (see: https://www.npr.org/2026/04/21/g-s1-118275/southern-poverty-law-center-fraud-charges-paid-informants). This market will resolve to “Yes” if the SPLC is found guilty of any charges in this case by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If this case ends due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or results in any situation in which no…
What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?
24h volume ($1.49K) is the dollar value of shares traded in the last 24 hours; liquidity ($247.67) is the dollar value resting in the order book. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.
$726.47
Yes sell at 3.0%
History rangePolymarket CLOB price history · daily closes · latest observation Sep 28, 2:13 AM UTC
Showing 34 of 34 loaded trade rows.Full archived tape is available through subscriber depth/API retrieval when coverage exists.
Who holds the biggest positions in this market?
Vultax loaded 21 public holder wallets for this market; the largest ten hold 96.1% of the loaded shares. The Holders view lists them by size on each side, and every wallet links to its trader profile.
Where does this data come from and how fresh is it?
Prices, the order book, holders and the trade tape come from Polymarket's public order book and data API. Vultax records each observation with its own timestamp (market facts last updated Sep 28, 2:12 AM UTC) and shows a value as unavailable rather than as zero when a source has not answered.
Can I trade this market on Vultax?
No. Vultax is a research and paper-trading terminal; it does not execute orders. The trade controls open the official market on Polymarket (https://polymarket.com/event/splc-found-guilty-in-2026) or the Vultax predictions monitor, where you can track the market and paper trade it.
