Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.4%. Yes opened at 7.5% on 14 Aug 2024. Before it settled, across the 141 daily closes on record from 14 Aug 2024 to 1 Jan 2025, the highest close was 11% on 17 Oct 2024 and the lowest 0.4% on 28 Dec 2024. Its largest one-day move was 5 points up, to 11% on 17 Oct 2024. $9.45K traded over the market's life.
40 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 2, 3:07 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 141 points, 14 Aug 2024 – 1 Jan 2025, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 14 Aug 2024 | 7.5% |
| 1 Jan 2025 | 0.6% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Royal Beacon B3EB | Yes | 99.2 |
| Jombertibus | Yes | 87.5 |
| Indigo Orbit 9C35 | Yes | 86 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a special counsel investigation into U.S. Supreme Court Justice Clarence Thomas is publicly announced by the Department of Justice (DOJ) between August 11 and December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Investigations or inquiries not conducted by a special counsel or initiated by entities other than the DOJ will not be considered for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/special-counsel-investigates-clarence-thomas-in-2024
New to prediction markets?
| GatorGuY | Yes | 62.5 |
| Quiet Raven 11B5 | Yes | 57.2 |
| Jade Sphinx BA04 | Yes | 27.2 |
| Golden Summit 0154 | Yes | 22.4 |
| Bright Pulse 6557 | Yes | 13.6 |
| GChild | No | 10 |
| Pantagruel | Yes | 1 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
