Analytics
Resolved No on 12 Jun 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 68%. Yes opened at 84.5% on 10 Jun 2026. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 10 Jun 2026 to 12 Jun 2026, the highest close was 84.5% on 10 Jun 2026 and the lowest 32% on 12 Jun 2026. Its largest one-day move was 51 points down, to 32% on 12 Jun 2026. $141.83K traded over the market's life.
144 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 13, 11:40 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 10 Jun 2026 – 12 Jun 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Jun 2026 | 84.5% |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 32.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| shoubyyy | Yes | 3.33K |
| pleasehelpme | Yes | 2.7K |
| Miserable-Flicker-Immigration | Yes | 1.95K |
| 423612fsdhzxnzx5r623ninj | Yes | 1.33K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Elon Musk rings the bell at a bell ceremony on SpaceX’s first day of trading. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If no SpaceX IPO or qualifying bell ceremony occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No". Bell-ringing ceremonies which take place outside of SpaceX's first day of trading will not be considered. Qualifying Requirements: - Elon Musk must be physically present at the ceremony. - The ceremony must be at the venue of SpaceX's primary exchange. - The purpose of the ceremony must be to commemorate the opening or closing of the regular trading session of SpaceX’s primary exchange on SpaceX's first day of trading. - Elon Musk must singularly or jointly participate in ringing or activating the physical or digital bell of the primary exchange through touch or force. Non-qualifying examples: - Elon Musk rings a bell at a private SpaceX ceremony. - Elon Musk tells someone else to ring the bell on his behalf. - Elon Musk issues a voice command to any device that it should play a ringing sound. - Elon Musk presses play on a ringing sound effect from his phone. - Elon Musk appears virtually at the bell ringing ceremony. - Elon Musk rings the bell from a location other than the primary exchange's physical venue. The resolution source will be photos or videos.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/spacex-ipo-will-elon-musk-ring-the-bell-20260608201006493
| Eager-Throne | Yes | 1.24K |
| Mindless-Money | Yes | 1K |
| Tonbest | Yes | 1K |
| AdamC18 | Yes | 1K |
| HerrieDavis | Yes | 995.11 |
| Polli4ka | Yes | 630.22 |
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