Analytics
Yes is at 1.7%, down 13 points from 15% when the market opened on 3 Oct 2026.
Across the 20 daily closes on record from 3 Oct 2026 to 24 Oct 2026 (3 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 15% on 3 Oct 2026 and the lowest 1.4% on 20 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 2.5%. Its largest one-day move was 8.5 points down, to 6.5% on 4 Oct 2026.
It is one of 2 markets under “Saudi troops enter Sanaa by...?”.
$40 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $6.95K since listing. The order book holds $18.06K, with a 2.6% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
The largest Yes position is rocky42007 with 300 shares; the largest No position is user201 with 522. Ten wallets hold 70.9% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Nov 2026, 8 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 24, 10:28 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 20 points, 3 Oct 2026 – 24 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–20%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 Oct 2026 | 15.0% |
| 24 Oct 2026 | 1.7% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| user201 | No | 522.05 |
| rocky42007 | Yes | 300 |
| Rapid Kestrel B576 | No | 183.71 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Saudi troops enter any part of Sanaa, Yemen by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". "Saudi troops" refers to active military personnel officially affiliated with Saudi Arabia. Only members of the regular armed forces of Saudi Arabia will qualify. Foreign fighters, private military contractors, mercenaries, or any other personnel recruited, paid, trained, equipped or directed by Saudi Arabia who are not members of the Saudi Arabian armed forces will not qualify, regardless of whether they operate under Saudi command or on Saudi Arabia’s behalf. Members of the armed forces of any other state, including those operating as part of a Saudi-led coalition, will not qualify. "Sanaa" refers to Amanat Al Asimah (the Capital Secretariat), Yemen, comprising the following districts: Old City, Al Wahdah, As Sabain, Assafi’yah, At Tahrir, Ath’thaorah, Az’zal, Bani Al Harith, Ma’ain, and Shu’aub. Sanaa Governorate is excluded and entry into Sanaa Governorate alone will not qualify. "Enter" means that the Saudi troops, even temporarily, deliberately operate within any part of Sanaa, other than as prisoners of war or as emissaries as described below. Bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of activity will not qualify on their own. An announcement, threat, or claim of Saudi troop entry will not qualify without actual entry being established. The entrance of Saudi emissaries for the purpose of negotiating an agreement or other diplomatic or commercial endeavors will not alone qualify. If the occurrence or timing of a potentially qualifying entry cannot be determined on the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, this market may remain open for three calendar days (ET) after the specified date. If Saudi troop entry into the specified territory is not established by this market's resolution sources by the end of the third calendar day, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Saudi Arabia, including the Saudi Ministry of Defense; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/saudi-troops-enter-sanaa-by
| 2B9S |
| Yes |
| 167.1 |
| Gluckyklucky | No | 150 |
| GuyFromTinder | No | 143.24 |
| Tallguy2527 | Yes | 120 |
| bakayo33 - 9934 | No | 119.99 |
| CarVerifiedVerified Polymarket profile | Yes | 111 |
| AJSV | Yes | 107.91 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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