Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 95.5%. Yes opened at 24.5% on 27 Jun 2026. Before it settled, across the 36 daily closes on record from 27 Jun 2026 to 1 Aug 2026, the highest close was 35.5% on 29 Jun 2026 and the lowest 4.5% on 1 Aug 2026. Its largest one-day move was 13 points down, to 11% on 11 Jul 2026. $784.52 traded over the market's life.
9 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 2, 11:41 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 36 points, 27 Jun 2026 – 1 Aug 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 Jun 2026 | 24.5% |
| 1 Aug 2026 | 4.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| TradingToRaiseMoneyForLocalLLMServer | Yes | 249.69 |
| StLRD | Yes | 248.98 |
| .Menthe | Yes | 50 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ruben Rocha Moya ceases to be the Governor of Sinaloa for any period of time between market creation and July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Rocha Moya’s resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ruben Rocha Moya and the governments of Mexico and Sinaloa; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ruben-rocha-out-as-governor-of-sinaloa-by-may-31
| Yes |
| 32.32 |
| tweetmaster | Yes | 8 |
| rocketcrypto | Yes | 4.98 |
| Mojito9 | No | 0.31 |
| Silver Ledger 0341 | No | 0.02 |
| iamgleb | No | 0.01 |
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