Analytics
Resolved Yes on 26 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 64%. Yes opened at 34% on 20 Aug 2026. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 20 Aug 2026 to 26 Aug 2026, the highest close was 64.5% on 25 Aug 2026 and the lowest 34% on 20 Aug 2026. Its largest one-day move was 18 points up, to 51.5% on 21 Aug 2026. $9.64K traded over the market's life.
21 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 27, 1:43 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 20 Aug 2026 – 26 Aug 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 20 Aug 2026 | 34.0% |
| 26 Aug 2026 | 64.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| s1sD0wn | No | 2.12K |
| PMTraderAdam | No | 600 |
| ayosussybenny | No | 200 |
| Mrpike | No | 79.61 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Rockstar Games, or an authorized representative thereof publicly announces that gameplay of Grand Theft Auto VI has been leaked, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement will qualify regardless of which leak it refers to, and regardless of when the leak it refers to occurred, provided the announcement itself is made within the specified period. The announcement must be public. Private communications, internal messages, statements by individuals not authorized to speak on behalf of Rockstar Games, and reporting that is not attributable to an official Rockstar Games announcement will not be considered. If no such announcement is made by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Rockstar Games.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/rockstar-confirms-gta-vi-gameplay-leaked
| Peter.YF | No | 59.99 |
| menthe2 | No | 50 |
| PPMT | No | 45 |
| hzy160159 | No | 35.71 |
| GollumGekko | No | 34.28 |
| Lavincey | No | 30 |
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