Record low border encounters in May?

Resolved

No, settled Jun 17, 2025 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$36.5K

Resolved

Settled

Jun 17, 2025 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 17 Jun 2025.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 96.7%. Yes opened at 30% on 13 May 2025. Before it settled, across the 36 daily closes on record from 13 May 2025 to 17 Jun 2025, the highest close was 30% on 13 May 2025 and the lowest 2.4% on 13 Jun 2025. Its largest one-day move was 11 points down, to 11.5% on 7 Jun 2025. $36.52K traded over the market's life.

11 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Jun 17, 7:46 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 36 points, 13 May 2025 – 17 Jun 2025, chart shows 0%–40%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
13 May 2025	30.0%
17 Jun 2025	3.4%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
tixon	Yes	23.49
Fitzyb	Yes	5.63
Clean-Forest	Yes	4
twark	No	0.02

10 of 11 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

In February 2025 (FYTD) there were 28,654 border encounters, the lowest on record (see: https://www.cbp.gov/newsroom/stats/nationwide-encounters) This market will resolve to "Yes" if there are less than 28,654 for May 2025 (FYTD). Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the first report of data for May 2025, regardless of future revisions. If no data is posted for May 2025 (FYTD) by August 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source is United States Customs and Border Protection (see: https://www.cbp.gov/newsroom/stats/nationwide-encounters)