Analytics
Resolved No on 12 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 60.6%. Yes opened at 50.5% on 10 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 105 daily closes on record from 10 Mar 2026 to 12 Jul 2026 (20 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 50.5% on 10 Mar 2026 and the lowest 0.9% on 9 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 39 points up, to 40.2% on 11 Jul 2026. $1.45K traded over the market's life.
7 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 21, 6:19 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 105 points, 10 Mar 2026 – 12 Jul 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Mar 2026 | 50.5% |
| 12 Jul 2026 | 39.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| akko123 | Yes | 500 |
| Deafening-Possible | Yes | 150 |
| fm14 | Yes | 100 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Microsoft officially releases Project Helix by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying product must be acknowledged to be part of Project Helix and be recognized as a major Xbox console, similar to the Xbox Series X or Xbox One. A new Xbox console not acknowledged by Microsoft as being part of Project Helix will not qualify. In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Microsoft. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/when-will-project-helix-be-released
| Rocks3 | Yes | 15 |
| Openty3 | No | 9.12 |
| Sleepy-Cactus | Yes | 6 |
| Euphy | No | 0.01 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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