Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.5% or higher before 2027? | No | 11.35 | $0.969 | $10.42 | -$0.58 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Project Helix release by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 9.12 | $0.987 | $9 | May 19, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 7.29 |
| $0.823 |
| $6.49 |
| +$0.49 |
 Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 4% and 5%? | No | 4.81 | $0.930 | $4.79 | +$0.32 |
| buy |
| 7.95 |
| $0.880 |
| $7 |
| May 19, 2026 |
| Benedict Cumberbatch as Doctor Strange?Yes | buy | 7.29 | $0.823 | $6 | May 19, 2026 |
 Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie have the best domestic opening week in 2026?No | buy | 3.1 | $0.967 | $3 | May 19, 2026 |
 Will Trump praise Elon Musk by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.12 | $0.976 | $5 | May 19, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day?No | sell | 10.2 | $0.991 | $10.11 | May 19, 2026 |
 Anthropic CEO arrested?No | sell | 11.45 | $0.987 | $11.3 | May 19, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on May 11?No | buy | 2.11 | $0.950 | $2 | May 11, 2026 |
 Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?No | buy | 3.16 | $0.950 | $3 | May 11, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on May 11?No | buy | 5.26 | $0.950 | $5 | May 11, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on May 12?No | buy | 3.33 | $0.900 | $3 | May 11, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C on May 12?No | buy | 5.11 | $0.978 | $5 | May 11, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk buy OnlyFans?No | buy | 8.17 | $0.979 | $8 | May 11, 2026 |
 Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?No | buy | 4.06 | $0.985 | $4 | May 11, 2026 |
 Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?No | buy | 6.13 | $0.979 | $6 | May 11, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day?No | buy | 10.2 | $0.980 | $10 | May 11, 2026 |
 Will the Bank of Korea decrease the base rate after the May Meeting?No | buy | 3.13 | $0.987 | $3.09 | Apr 27, 2026 |
 Will Argentina dollarize by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 10.2 | $0.980 | $10 | Apr 27, 2026 |
 Will Google Gemini score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?No | buy | 13.16 | $0.987 | $13 | Apr 27, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by April 30?No | buy | 15.31 | $0.980 | $15 | Apr 27, 2026 |
 Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?No | buy | 31.03 | $0.999 | $31 | Apr 27, 2026 |
 Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 60.62 | $0.998 | $60.5 | Apr 27, 2026 |
| Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 4% and 5%?No | buy | 4.81 | $0.930 | $4.47 | Mar 10, 2026 |
 Will Kanye release BULLY by March 20?No | buy | 4.04 | $0.991 | $4 | Mar 10, 2026 |
 Critical Discord Incident by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 6.02 | $0.830 | $5 | Mar 10, 2026 |
 Will Claude go down 1-2 times in March?No | buy | 7.24 | $0.967 | $7 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Anthropic CEO arrested?No | buy | 11.46 | $0.960 | $11 | Mar 10, 2026 |
 GTA VI released before June 2026?No | buy | 5.09 | $0.983 | $5 | Mar 10, 2026 |
 2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?No | sell | 20.23 | $0.930 | $18.81 | Mar 10, 2026 |
 Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?No | buy | 7.13 | $0.996 | $7.1 | Feb 24, 2026 |
| Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.5% or higher before 2027?No | buy | 11.35 | $0.969 | $11 | Feb 24, 2026 |
 Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $200 on February 24?Yes | buy | 4.21 | $0.950 | $4 | Feb 24, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by February 28?No | buy | 8.15 | $0.982 | $8 | Feb 24, 2026 |
 Dubai Tennis Championships: Daniil Medvedev vs Juncheng ShangMedvedev | buy | 5.21 | $0.960 | $5 | Feb 24, 2026 |
| Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 60.62 | $0.998 | $60.5 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| 2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?No | buy | 20.24 | $0.840 | $17 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Jerome Powell arrested by March 31?No | buy | 11.31 | $0.973 | $11 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Oct–Dec–Jan)?No | buy | 12.64 | $0.949 | $12 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Fed rate cut by January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 22.2 | $0.946 | $21 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?No | buy | 13.88 | $0.933 | $12.95 | Nov 24, 2025 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?No | buy | 5.03 | $0.994 | $5 | Nov 24, 2025 |
 Maduro out by November 30, 2025?No | buy | 4.14 | $0.966 | $4 | Nov 24, 2025 |
 Will Israel strike Gaza on November 23?No | buy | 11.09 | $0.992 | $11 | Nov 24, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani praise Donald Trump on Friday?No | buy | 23.86 | $0.880 | $21 | Nov 24, 2025 |
 Will 'Wicked: For Good – The Soundtrack' debut at No. 1 on the Billboard 200?No | buy | 14.91 | $0.939 | $14 | Nov 24, 2025 |
 Will Abigail Spanberger win by 15-18%?Yes | buy | 12.02 | $0.998 | $12 | Nov 24, 2025 |
 Will ANO form a government after Czech election ?Yes | buy | 14.06 | $0.996 | $14 | Nov 24, 2025 |
 US tariff revenue up in Q3 2025?Yes | buy | 12.1 | $0.992 | $12 | Nov 24, 2025 |
| Will ANO form a government after Czech election ?Yes | sell | 40.08 | $0.980 | $39.28 | Nov 24, 2025 |
 Dow Jones (DJI) Up or Down on October 27?Up | buy | 53.57 | $0.980 | $52.5 | Oct 27, 2025 |