Analytics
Resolved No on 21 Oct 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 62.5%. Yes opened at 78.5% on 9 Oct 2025. Before it settled, across the 13 daily closes on record from 9 Oct 2025 to 21 Oct 2025, the highest close was 88.5% on 13 Oct 2025 and the lowest 28.5% on 18 Oct 2025. Its largest one-day move was 25 points down, to 60% on 15 Oct 2025. $37.86K traded over the market's life.
26 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 22, 4:27 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 13 points, 9 Oct 2025 – 21 Oct 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 9 Oct 2025 | 78.5% |
| 21 Oct 2025 | 37.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Rapid Orbit F73D | Yes | 1.32K |
| Pristine-Glue | Yes | 399.99 |
| Crimson Falcon C79A | Yes | 326.31 |
| 20Nick00 | Yes | 300 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
PulteGroup is estimated to release earnings on October 21, 2025. The Street consensus estimate for PulteGroup's GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $3.03. This market will resolve to "Yes" if PulteGroup reports GAAP EPS greater than $3.03 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents. If PulteGroup releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”. If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.” Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024). Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for GAAP EPS. Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding. Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS. Note: For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS. Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Resolution source: https://seekingalpha.com/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/phm-quarterly-earnings-gaap-eps-10-21-2025-3pt03
| tlmonks | Yes | 230.2 |
| FrankyFourFingers | Yes | 200 |
| obamaisgay | Yes | 148.85 |
| lissartter | Yes | 145.74 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 121 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | Yes | 100 |
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